“Future Earth”: Nigmatulin Hypothesis and Dynamic Model of Radiation Field of Ocean-Atmosphere System

Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics of RAS, Department Dynamic systems, RU-125047, Moscow, Russia

^* Corresponding author: tamaras@keldysh.ru

Published online: 26 April 2021

Abstract

The United Nations has proclaimed a Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (2021-2030) to support efforts to reverse the cycle of decline in ocean health and gather ocean stakeholders worldwide behind a common framework that will ensure ocean science can fully support countries in creating improved conditions for sustainable development of the Ocean. The marine realm is the largest component of the Earth’s system that stabilizes climate and support life on Earth and human well-being. Scientific understanding of the ocean’s responses to pressures and management action is fundamental for sustainable development. Planet Earth is a natural example of a dynamic system with nonlinear processes that is in continuous change. The Earth’s radiation field is a single physical field (electromagnetic radiation) and the unifying factor of the Earth dynamical system. The Earth’s climate system is a natural environment that includes the atmosphere, the hydrosphere (oceans, seas, lakes, rivers), the cryosphere (land surface, snow, sea and mountain ice, etc.), and the biosphere that unites all living things. According to the hypothesis of R.I. Nigmatulin “Ocean is a dictator of climate”. H2O and CO2 are competing climate influences. In this article, we propose original author’s mathematical models for radiation blocks with hyperspectral data on absorption by atmospheric components. The new models are based on the development of the theory of the optical transfer operator and the method of influence functions in the theory of radiation transfer and Boltzmann equations, as well as the iterative method of characteristics with iteration convergence accelerations.